285 | Nate Silver on Prediction, Risk, and Rationality
From Sean Carroll's Mindscape: Science, Society, Philosophy, Culture, Arts, and Ideas
Published 8/12/2024
Being rational necessarily involves engagement with probability. Given two possible courses of action, it can be rational to prefer the one that could possibly result in a worse outcome, if there's also a substantial probability for an even better outcome. But one's attitude toward risk -- averse,…